Biden Announces, 5 Reasons He Will Win Re-Election - 4/25/2023

Joe is running. Get the basement ready!

President Joe Biden has announced his candidacy for re-election in 2024. Based on my own amateur analysis of the situation right now, he will win re-election. Here are my top 5 reasons why:

Trump is his own worst enemy. He and his supporters are a godsend to Biden.

1. Donald J. Trump and Trump supporters. NOTHING has changed since 2020. Not a damned thing. How in the hell am I supposed to believe that an instant replay will result in a different outcome? "The cheating, the cheating... it was stolen!!!!" OK, explain to me what was changed to fix that. Please. Also, what has Trump done to court voters who dislike him and win over swing voters who swung against him. NOTHING. He plays only to his base, NOBODY else. His attacks on Governor DeSantis are a huge turnoff to me and many others. And it appears if Trump is NOT the nominee, many of his supporters will stay home on the ridiculously absurd notion that all other GOP candidates are no different from Biden. Yes, ridiculous and absurd. Trump is a problem for everyone except Joe Biden. So are his supporters. Advantage: Biden.

A lot of voters are one issue voters. We saw backlash in 2022 that will carry over to 2024.

2. Abortion. While I agreed with the Supreme Court's decision as a legal and constitutional matter, people are in denial if they think that states over swinging the pendulum the other way don't hurt the GOP in swing states, especially up north in WI, MI, and PA. The GOP needs to flip one or more of those. The overturn of Roe V. Wade may be the right thing to do. As a good friend of mine used to say: It's good to be right, but you never want to be 'dead right'. Advantage: Biden.

Fox lurches left. The right is homeless.

3. Mass media are coming into perfect alignment. With the firing of Tucker Carlson and severing ties with Dan Bongino, Fox News, the lone bastion for the right in network news, is lurching left. It will be all lefty bias, all the time. Advantage: Biden.

Jan 6th hurts the GOP. That's why Dems play this hand so hard, They know it.

4. January 6th and continued crying of "foul" over the 2020. No matter how righteous and justified outrage over 2020 and Jan 6th prosecutions may (or may not) be, if the GOP makes 2024 a referendum on 2020, rather than a referendum on Biden, swing voters will lose interest completely. A large portion of the GOP base is laser focused on 2020 and Jan 6th injustices. Dead right again! Advantage: Biden.

Deep State. They'll do it again in a heartbeat.

5. The Deep State loves Biden and they love war. They have already shown themselves to be absolutely unscrupulous and bald-faced liars to get their guy in power and keep Trump out. Why won't they do it again? Spoiler Alert: They WILL do it again. Advantage: Biden.

Democrats are confident. they're not even going to have debates. Why bother. It's in the bag for the Big Guy.